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Odds 'n' Odds

One of those offseason artifacts that gets picked over when there are no games to play is strength of schedule. Based on last year’s finishes, it’s an imperfect — at best — measure of what a team faces. So, four games into the season, here’s how the schedule looks today. As my measuring stick, I decided to use not wins and losses, as there are still too few of either, but Super Bowl odds. Bottom line: predictions that Cincinnati’s schedule would rank among the easier NFL roads were greatly exaggerated. Current odds for the good guys:

Cincinnati Bengals
Team Odds to Win Super Bowl XLIV
Cincinnati Bengals 25/1

Seven of their remaining 12 games are against opponents that Vegas deems more likely to make the Big Game.

Remaining Opponents
Team Odds to Win Super Bowl XLIV
Baltimore Ravens 13/2
Houston Texans 45/1
Chicago Bears 13/1
Baltimore Ravens 13/2
Pittsburgh Steelers 10/1
Oakland Raiders 400/1
Cleveland Browns 500/1
Detroit Lions 400/1
Minnesota Vikings 8/1
San Diego Chargers 15/1
Kansas City Chiefs 400/1
New York Jets 18/1

The good news is that the Bengals are 2-1 against teams with equal or better Super Bowl odds than they have right now.

Previous Opponents
Team Odds to Win Super Bowl XLIV
Denver Broncos (L) 25/1
Green Bay Packers (W) 25/1
Pittsburgh Steelers (W) 10/1
Cleveland Browns (W) 500/1

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