Analyzing the Bengals Playoff Chances


Oct 16, 2011; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Cincinnati Bengals fans react during the second half against the Indianapolis Colts at Paul Brown Stadium. The Bengals defeated the Colts 27-17. Mandatory Credit: Frank Victores-US PRESSWIRE


The writers at Football Outsiders do some of, if not the most advanced statistical research when it comes to the NFL that there is. Each week, they do an update of every NFL teams’ playoff odds based on a ridiculous number of things you can read about in the full article here, but to sum it up, they give the Bengals a 16.5% chance of making the playoffs:


AFC North

Team Rec DAVE Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
BAL 1-1 16.3% 9.4 10.3% 13.4% 13.9% 12.2% 6.6% 11.4% 49.8% 23.7% 18.0% 67.8% -5.9%
PIT 1-1 8.5% 9.3 6.7% 11.7% 12.5% 10.6% 8.5% 12.9% 41.4% 18.3% 21.3% 62.7% 6.3%
CIN 1-1 -12.4% 7.1 0.5% 1.5% 2.4% 3.0% 2.9% 6.0% 7.5% 2.1% 8.9% 16.5% 3.3%
CLE 0-2 -18.4% 5.4 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 1.6% 1.4% 0.2% 2.1% 3.4% 0.4%

They also give the Bengals a 1.9% chance of making the AFC Championship game. I think right now with the way the defense has played, Bengals fans would be thrilled to see their team just make the postseason after nearly 3 decades of failing to make consecutive playoff appearances. The Bengals still have plenty of work to do, but with no clear-cut locks to make the playoffs in the AFC outside of the Texans, with even the likes of the Patriots and the Ravens already displaying their chinks in the armor, there’s still hope that Cincinnati will still be playing football come playoff time.


How do you feel about the Bengals' playoff chances?

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Topics: Cincinnati Bengals, Football Outsiders, NFL News

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  • Lando101

    Week two is too early to talk playoffs. lets wait until week eight…