Analyzing Andy Dalton's Third-Down Woes

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Nov 4, 2012; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton (14) passes the ball during the first half against the Denver Broncos at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Frank Victores-US PRESSWIRE


Pop quiz. Which quarterback is the worst in the NFL at converting third and fourth down passes into first downs?

Yeah, I guessed Blaine Gabbert too. In most cases, when answering questions that begin with “Which quarterback is the worst” the answer is usually Blaine Gabbert.

Not this time, however. Over at, Chase Stuart has put together a very instructive table detailing all 33 qualifying quarterbacks and their conversion percentages on pass plays on third and fourth down. And dead last, 33rd out of 33, sits one Andrew Gregory Dalton.

And it’s not close either. Dalton has converted on only 16 of 77 third down and fourth down attempts, which comes out to a lowly 20.8%. To put that in perspective Peyton Manning has converted 52.6% of the time, and NFL average is 37.2% Dalton’s conversion rate is over five full percentage points behind the 32nd ranked quarterback (ah, there’s good ol’ Blaine).

But wait! We are all well-aware of the Bengals struggles in the running game this year. If Cincinnati can’t run on first or second down, this would put Dalton in more difficult third and long situations, right?

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