It’s Never Sunny in Cincinnati: Playoff Edition – The Quarterback Bubble

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Perhaps this is a positive yet unintended consequence of the CBA; an encouragement of blood in, blood out though the Draft.  Regardless, the fact remains that today’s quarterback is not demonstrating market worth by and large.  The economic term for this is a “bubble.”

As a prototype, Andy Reid and Alex Smith are suggesting the quarterback’s inflated worth, but they are not bursting the bubble per se.  The burst will come when a hot up-and-comer accepts a less lucrative contract in order to solidify his team’s momentum.

Right now, only veterans with 10+ years in the League are demonstrating this sort of insight, and even then, it is not for substantial amounts.

Dec 1, 2013; San Diego, CA, USA; Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton (14) and wide receiver A.J. Green (18) in the tunnel prior to the game against the San Diego Chargers at Qualcomm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Both Dalton and Newton are in positions to command sizable salaries this off-season should their respective teams come to the bargaining table before the final year of their contracts.  As the amount of data within this new CBA era accumulates, how front offices seek to employ their long-term strategies will be worth noting.

In the past, $100M contracts where status symbols that heralded sponsorship and fame, both for the player and the franchise.  This is no longer the case; see Michael Vick and Robert Griffin III.  Mutually exclusive, branding to a franchise and winning matters most for today’s NFL quarterback, and keeping talent around the signal caller is the best way to do this.

It will be interesting to see which young quarterback realizes the era of football they are playing in first.

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