ESPN FPI projects Bengals likely with 6th 2021 NFL Draft pick

CINCINNATI, OHIO - OCTOBER 25:. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
CINCINNATI, OHIO - OCTOBER 25:. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images) /

The Bengals are projected to wind up with the sixth pick in the 2021 NFL Draft according to the ESPN Football Power Index.

Currently, 2-6-1 entering Week 11 in the NFL, the Bengals are projected to have the sixth pick in the 2021 Draft according to the ESPN Football Power Index. The average draft position for Cincinnati is 7.9, they have a 0.3 percent chance to earn the top pick in the draft and a 29.2 percent chance to earn a pick in the top five.

ESPN uses the FPI every week by running 10,000 simulations for the remainder of the season. The NFL Draft order is what the most likely record each team will have following simulations after 16 NFL Games and where each team’s average draft position is when the simulations have been concluded.

The Bengals are currently 27th in the NFL FPI. The New York Jets, Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles Chargers (who defeated the Bengals in the season opener and Washington Football Team (who the Bengals play this weekend) make up the top five teams in the NFL Draft as projected by ESPN.

ESPN projects only the Jets, Jaguars and Cowboys to have worse records. The FPI projection has the Bengals finishing on average with 4.8 wins and 10.2 losses with the tie they had earlier this season figured in. Cincinnati will likely draft a player on the offensive or defensive line with its first pick in the 2021 NFL Draft.

A partner site for Stripe Hype, NFL Mocks, projects the Bengals to select Alabama offensive tackle Alex Leatherwood, in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft. The Bengals 2020 NFL Draft appears to be one of the best in franchise history. Top pick quarterback Joe Burrow has played up to expectations as a rookie.

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Tee Higgins has emerged quickly as one of the favorite receivers of Burrow. Higgins has 40 receptions for 603 yards and four touchdowns through the first nine games of 2020. Third round draft pick Logan Wilson has played well as a part-time role at linebacker with 22 tackles. They have set a good foundation beyond 2020.