Cincinnati Bengals roster: 3 Reasonable expectations for Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow #9 (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)
Joe Burrow #9 (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images) /
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Cincinnati Bengals
Joe Burrow #9 (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images) /

The Cincinnati Bengals star will throw for 4,000 yards and 30 TDs.

Yes sir and yes ma’am. This is what one might call ‘coming out swinging’. Though there’s truly no way of guaranteeing statistical output (no one has any stat forecaster or one of those Wheel-of-Fortune-type gameshow wheels to spin). There was an attempt to come up with a formula here though.

It isn’t perfect, but it’s all any of us has.

In 2020, Joe Burrow threw 404 passes in ten games, which you can probably tell, with a quick mathematical study, equals just under 41 tosses per contest. A.J. Green is gone, but Cincy acquired Thaddeus Moss and reunited QB1 with his former college teammate Ja’Marr Chase. How about we call it a cool 45 tosses per game? It’s also been taken under consideration that the Bengals figure to be trailing at some point during the season.

Burrow was on pace to throw that ball 640 times in 2020. We’ll bump that up to 650 and based on his 10.2 yards per-completion average, one that we’ll bump up to around 16 yards based on Chase’s 19.6 yards per catch average he racked up when these two were with the Bayou Bengals.

Burrow also completed 65 percent of his passes, so again, even though none of this makes any sense and even though we’ve probably lost a good bit of you, until the NFL’s Next Gen Stats department finds a better way to do this, we’ll just guess. How about 4,000 yards passing and 30 touchdowns? Is everybody good? Cool! Let’s move on.