Bengals Record Against the Spread Points to Major Betting Value Against Chiefs

Joe Burrow and the Bengals are the best spread bet in football (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)
Joe Burrow and the Bengals are the best spread bet in football (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images) /

The Cincinnati Bengals are back in the AFC Championship game for the first time since the 1988 season behind an electrifying offense led by star quarterback Joe Burrow.

They play the Kansas City Chiefs at 3:05 PM EST and WynnBET has the Bengals as 7-point underdogs and +265 on the moneyline (bet $10 to win $26.5). The over/under is set at 54.

One of the biggest surprises of the season, what can we learn from the Bengals’ rise to help us as bettors?

Bengals Betting Trend

The Bengals have been a bettor’s best friend over the last month, covering the spread in six consecutive games by an average of just over 5 points per game. Battling nagging injuries throughout the season, Burrow turned the corner once the calendar hit December and never looked back.

You could see him becoming more comfortable with the offense after returning from the ACL tear he sustained last season, and the numbers bear that out. In five games since the start of December (he didn’t play in Week 18), Burrow completed 76.8% of his passes for 1,776 yards with 13 total touchdowns and just 2 interceptions.

While wide receivers Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins had strong seasons from start to finish, Burrow and the Bengals really took off once third-option Tyler Boyd became a bigger part of the offense. As Burrow grew more comfortable and was able to go through his progressions faster, Boyd’s performance improved and defenses were forced to account for another playmaker.

After only scoring 2 touchdowns in the first 14 weeks, Boyd has touchdowns in four of his last five games. It’s a brutal spot to be in for a defense. It’s almost impossible to cover Chase, Higgins, and Boyd all on one play. If you do, Burrow can dump it off to Joe Mixon or C.J. Uzomah. There’s too many options. And once Burrow felt comfortable enough to make all of them part of the offense, there’s been no looking back.

The Chiefs also know first hand just how hard it is to cover all the options in this offense. They Gave up an absurd 266 yards and 3 touchdowns to Chase, but Burrow also completed at least two thirds of his pass attempts to Boyd, Uzomah and Mixon as well.

I love the Bengals to cover the spread for the 7th consecutive game against a Chiefs team they’ve already beaten this month. Now that Burrow is feeling like himself and has his entire offense involved, the Bengals are the best spread bet in football.

Give me the Bengals +7 this Sunday.

Take advantage of this trend over at WynnBET and place your bets now before oddsmakers realize they’ve given us way too many points against the Chiefs.