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How Bengals QB Joe Burrow is trending to be better than ever this season

The numbers tell the story of a potential MVP...
ByMatt Fitzgerald
Joe Burrow warms up before Bengals vs. Ravens in Week 7.
Joe Burrow warms up before Bengals vs. Ravens in Week 7. | USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

The Cincinnati Bengals and their fans should count their lucky stars every day that Joe Burrow is their quarterback. All the suffering it took to score him with the No. 1 overall pick in 2020, and all the suffering Burrow has endured as a pro, seems to be culminating in an ultimate payoff this year.

Although it hasn't been perfect and the under center initiative appears to have failed, Burrow and the Bengals' offense unlocked a new level in Week 7. They scored five straight TDs in a 35-13 win over the Ravens in Baltimore.

With the Tennessee Titans on deck in Week 8 and an easy schedule by NFL standards from there on out, there's reason to believe Burrow will only improve on how he's currently trending, which already has the makings of an MVP-caliber campaign.

Burrow is on an MVP pace that promises to get better

Look at the comparison between Joe Burrow in 2024, when he led the NFL in TD passes an passing yards, and how he's rocking it right now:

Bear in mind that Burrow has a much better defense at his disposal led by Dexter Lawrence. And that he's a better QB now than he was two years ago. And that Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins are better players now than they were then.

Oh, and the offensive line in front of Burrow that got him lit up in '24 is far better nowadays, too.

As phenomenal as Carson Palmer was once upon a time, what Burrow is doing despite all his injuries and missed time is nothing short of spectacular.

I recently wrote about how Burrow is a legit MVP candidate, especially after his four-TD performance in Baltimore. PFF's Gordon McGuinness wrote a more recent column concurring with that take, showing off just how good Joe Shiesty has been since 2020 from Week 8 onward:

"His 19.9% positively graded play rate ranks third among qualifying quarterbacks, but his negatively graded play rate of just 5.4% is the lowest. [...] But why does Burrow's hot start matter? Well, since Burrow entered the NFL in 2020, he has earned a 95.5 PFF grade from Week 8 through the end of the season, including the playoffs. Among the 28 quarterbacks with at least 1,000 qualifying dropbacks over that span, that is comfortably the best mark in the NFL."

Indeed, Joe Brrr is downright cold when the weather starts getting chillier. Josh Allen is the closest to Burrow's 95.5 PFF mark at 91.6, while Matthew Stafford is close behind at 91.4.

Allen figures to be Burrow's biggest competition for the MVP award at the NFL Honors ceremony before the Super Bowl. It could come down to which player's team wins more games. Right now, the Bengals' defense looks surprisingly better than Buffalo's.

But yeah, Burrow has a rather easy schedule ahead that he's all but certain to capitalize on. He's operating from the pocket at a literal Tom Brady-esque level, hence why I type that with such conviction.

Any more questions? Any more haters trying to come for Joe? Whether he or Allen wins MVP matters not. I just know that no one will want to see this Bengals team if the defense keeps improving and Burrow is on the field.

We're talking three years of absences from the playoffs and a whole lot of pent up fury about to be unleashed. Joe Burrow is indeed tracking to make history this season.

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